Why this matchup matters

Two football ideas, one impossible night

Brian Clough's Nott'm Forest 1979/80 bring 4-4-2 and wide play with counter attack. Chris Coleman's Wales 2016 answer with 3-5-2 and counter attack with star forward; the matchup is decided by which side can impose that identity without exposing its weakest transition.

Nott'm ForestBrian Clough · 4-4-2 · Wide Play · Counter AttackWalesChris Coleman · 3-5-2 · Counter Attack · Star Forward

400 alternate nights

Nott'm Forest vs Wales

Model lean: Nott'm Forest

Signature score

1–1

average goals 1.521.42

38.8%
Nott'm Forest
23%
Draw
38.3%
Wales

Most likely scores

  1. 1–111.5%
  2. 1–29.8%
  3. 0–19.3%
  4. 2–18.5%
  5. 0–27%
  6. 1–06.8%

Match profile

xG1.611.41
Shots14.312.7
Poss52%48%
CS22.3%25.5%
BTTS56.8%
Over 2.556.8%

Goals in 400 matches

  1. Nott'm ForestG/m
  2. Birtles1810.45
  3. Francis1560.39
  4. Robertson740.18
  5. O'Neill690.17
  1. WalesG/m
  2. Bale1980.49
  3. Robson-Kanu1260.32
  4. Ramsey830.21
  5. Allen420.10
Home XINott'm Forest1979/80Brian Clough · 4-4-2
87OVR

XI

  • STGarry Birtles82
  • STTrevor Francis86
  • LMJohn Robertson88
  • CMJohn McGovern84
  • RMMartin O'Neill82
  • CMIan Bowyer80
  • LBFrank Gray80
  • CBLarry Lloyd82
  • CBKenny Burns84
  • RBViv Anderson84
  • GKPeter Shilton92
Bench · 4
  • STTony Woodcock84
  • CBDavid Needham76
  • CMJimmy Powell74
  • GKJimmy Montgomery74
Away XIWales2016Chris Coleman · 3-5-2
83OVR

XI

  • STGareth Bale92
  • STHal Robson-Kanu76
  • CAMAaron Ramsey84
  • LWBNeil Taylor76
  • CMJoe Allen82
  • CMJoe Ledley78
  • RWBChris Gunter76
  • CBBen Davies82
  • CBAshley Williams82
  • CBJames Chester78
  • GKWayne Hennessey80
Bench · 4
  • STSam Vokes78
  • CMAndy King76
  • CAMJonny Williams74
  • GKDanny Ward74

Ratings

Attack84
Midfield86
Defence86
Goalkeeping90
Chemistry94
Overall87

Ratings

Attack84
Midfield82
Defence82
Goalkeeping80
Chemistry92
Overall83

Your turn

Simulate this matchup

The teams are already selected. Run the match yourself for a fresh seeded result, or test the matchup 100 times.

XI

  • STGarry Birtles82
  • STTrevor Francis86
  • LMJohn Robertson88
  • CMJohn McGovern84
  • RMMartin O'Neill82
  • CMIan Bowyer80
  • LBFrank Gray80
  • CBLarry Lloyd82
  • CBKenny Burns84
  • RBViv Anderson84
  • GKPeter Shilton92
Bench · 4
  • STTony Woodcock84
  • CBDavid Needham76
  • CMJimmy Powell74
  • GKJimmy Montgomery74
VS

Tap a player for PAC SHO PAS DRI DEF PHY

XI

  • STGareth Bale92
  • STHal Robson-Kanu76
  • CAMAaron Ramsey84
  • LWBNeil Taylor76
  • CMJoe Allen82
  • CMJoe Ledley78
  • RWBChris Gunter76
  • CBBen Davies82
  • CBAshley Williams82
  • CBJames Chester78
  • GKWayne Hennessey80
Bench · 4
  • STSam Vokes78
  • CMAndy King76
  • CAMJonny Williams74
  • GKDanny Ward74
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