Why this matchup matters

Two football ideas, one impossible night

Luciano Spalletti's Italy 2026 bring 4-3-3 and technical midfield with wide forwards. Vicente del Bosque's Spain 2012 answer with 4-3-3 and tiki-taka with false nine; the matchup is decided by which side can impose that identity without exposing its weakest transition.

ItalyLuciano Spalletti · 4-3-3 · Technical Midfield · Wide ForwardsSpainVicente del Bosque · 4-3-3 · Tiki-Taka · False Nine

400 alternate nights

Italy vs Spain

Model lean: Spain

Signature score

1–1

average goals 1.371.46

35.8%
Italy
23.5%
Draw
40.8%
Spain

Most likely scores

  1. 1–110.8%
  2. 0–110.3%
  3. 2–18.5%
  4. 1–27.8%
  5. 0–27.2%
  6. 2–06.5%

Match profile

xG1.361.43
Shots12.312.6
Poss42%58%
CS22.5%28.2%
BTTS55.3%
Over 2.553%

Goals in 400 matches

  1. ItalyG/m
  2. Retegui1930.48
  3. Chiesa1090.27
  4. Orsolini1070.27
  5. Barella360.09
  1. SpainG/m
  2. Fàbregas1760.44
  3. Silva1160.29
  4. Iniesta970.24
  5. Xavi590.15
Home XIItaly2026Luciano Spalletti · 4-3-3
85OVR

XI

  • LWFederico Chiesa86
  • STMateo Retegui82
  • RWRiccardo Orsolini80
  • CMNicolò Barella88
  • CDMManuel Locatelli82
  • CMSandro Tonali86
  • LBFederico Dimarco84
  • CBAlessandro Bastoni88
  • CBRiccardo Calafiori82
  • RBGiovanni Di Lorenzo84
  • GKGianluigi Donnarumma86
Bench · 7
  • CBAlessandro Buongiorno82
  • GKGuglielmo Vicario82
  • CAMLorenzo Pellegrini82
  • STGiacomo Raspadori80
  • CMDavide Frattesi80
  • STMoise Kean80
  • CBGianluca Mancini80
Away XISpain2012Vicente del Bosque · 4-3-3
91OVR

XI

  • LWAndrés Iniesta94
  • STCesc Fàbregas86
  • RWDavid Silva88
  • CMXavi95
  • CDMSergio Busquets90
  • CMXabi Alonso90
  • LBJordi Alba86
  • CBGerard Piqué88
  • CBSergio Ramos88
  • RBÁlvaro Arbeloa80
  • GKIker Casillas88
Bench · 7
  • CAMJuan Mata84
  • RWPedro84
  • CAMSanti Cazorla84
  • CDMJavi Martínez84
  • STFernando Torres82
  • GKPepe Reina82
  • STÁlvaro Negredo80

Ratings

Attack82
Midfield86
Defence86
Goalkeeping86
Chemistry84
Overall85

Ratings

Attack88
Midfield97
Defence88
Goalkeeping88
Chemistry96
Overall91

Your turn

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XI

  • LWFederico Chiesa86
  • STMateo Retegui82
  • RWRiccardo Orsolini80
  • CMNicolò Barella88
  • CDMManuel Locatelli82
  • CMSandro Tonali86
  • LBFederico Dimarco84
  • CBAlessandro Bastoni88
  • CBRiccardo Calafiori82
  • RBGiovanni Di Lorenzo84
  • GKGianluigi Donnarumma86
Bench · 7
  • CBAlessandro Buongiorno82
  • GKGuglielmo Vicario82
  • CAMLorenzo Pellegrini82
  • STGiacomo Raspadori80
  • CMDavide Frattesi80
  • STMoise Kean80
  • CBGianluca Mancini80
VS

Tap a player for PAC SHO PAS DRI DEF PHY

XI

  • LWAndrés Iniesta94
  • STCesc Fàbregas86
  • RWDavid Silva88
  • CMXavi95
  • CDMSergio Busquets90
  • CMXabi Alonso90
  • LBJordi Alba86
  • CBGerard Piqué88
  • CBSergio Ramos88
  • RBÁlvaro Arbeloa80
  • GKIker Casillas88
Bench · 7
  • CAMJuan Mata84
  • RWPedro84
  • CAMSanti Cazorla84
  • CDMJavi Martínez84
  • STFernando Torres82
  • GKPepe Reina82
  • STÁlvaro Negredo80
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