Why this matchup matters

Two football ideas, one impossible night

Didier Deschamps's France 2026 bring 4-3-3 and vertical counter with athletic midfield. Luciano Spalletti's Italy 2026 answer with 4-3-3 and technical midfield with wide forwards; the matchup is decided by which side can impose that identity without exposing its weakest transition.

FranceDidier Deschamps · 4-3-3 · Vertical Counter · Athletic MidfieldItalyLuciano Spalletti · 4-3-3 · Technical Midfield · Wide Forwards

400 alternate nights

France vs Italy

Model lean: France

Signature score

1–1

average goals 1.631.35

43.5%
France
25.5%
Draw
31%
Italy

Most likely scores

  1. 1–111%
  2. 2–19.3%
  3. 1–28.3%
  4. 1–08%
  5. 0–16.8%
  6. 2–26.8%

Match profile

xG1.591.34
Shots13.912.1
Poss50%50%
CS26%19.5%
BTTS60.3%
Over 2.559.3%

Goals in 400 matches

  1. FranceG/m
  2. Mbappé2370.59
  3. Dembélé1280.32
  4. Barcola1190.30
  5. Camavinga400.10
  1. ItalyG/m
  2. Retegui1600.40
  3. Orsolini1160.29
  4. Chiesa1070.27
  5. Barella450.11
Home XIFrance2026Didier Deschamps · 4-3-3
89OVR

XI

  • LWOusmane Dembélé88
  • STKylian Mbappé95
  • RWBradley Barcola84
  • CMEduardo Camavinga86
  • CDMAurélien Tchouaméni86
  • CMN'Golo Kanté84
  • LBTheo Hernández86
  • CBWilliam Saliba90
  • CBIbrahima Konaté86
  • RBJules Koundé84
  • GKMike Maignan86
Bench · 7
  • CBDayot Upamecano84
  • RWKingsley Coman84
  • STMarcus Thuram84
  • STRandal Kolo Muani82
  • CMYoussouf Fofana80
  • CMWarren Zaïre-Emery80
  • GKBrice Samba78
Away XIItaly2026Luciano Spalletti · 4-3-3
85OVR

XI

  • LWFederico Chiesa86
  • STMateo Retegui82
  • RWRiccardo Orsolini80
  • CMNicolò Barella88
  • CDMManuel Locatelli82
  • CMSandro Tonali86
  • LBFederico Dimarco84
  • CBAlessandro Bastoni88
  • CBRiccardo Calafiori82
  • RBGiovanni Di Lorenzo84
  • GKGianluigi Donnarumma86
Bench · 7
  • CBAlessandro Buongiorno82
  • GKGuglielmo Vicario82
  • CAMLorenzo Pellegrini82
  • STGiacomo Raspadori80
  • CMDavide Frattesi80
  • STMoise Kean80
  • CBGianluca Mancini80

Ratings

Attack92
Midfield88
Defence88
Goalkeeping86
Chemistry86
Overall89

Ratings

Attack82
Midfield86
Defence86
Goalkeeping86
Chemistry84
Overall85

Your turn

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XI

  • LWOusmane Dembélé88
  • STKylian Mbappé95
  • RWBradley Barcola84
  • CMEduardo Camavinga86
  • CDMAurélien Tchouaméni86
  • CMN'Golo Kanté84
  • LBTheo Hernández86
  • CBWilliam Saliba90
  • CBIbrahima Konaté86
  • RBJules Koundé84
  • GKMike Maignan86
Bench · 7
  • CBDayot Upamecano84
  • RWKingsley Coman84
  • STMarcus Thuram84
  • STRandal Kolo Muani82
  • CMYoussouf Fofana80
  • CMWarren Zaïre-Emery80
  • GKBrice Samba78
VS

Tap a player for PAC SHO PAS DRI DEF PHY

XI

  • LWFederico Chiesa86
  • STMateo Retegui82
  • RWRiccardo Orsolini80
  • CMNicolò Barella88
  • CDMManuel Locatelli82
  • CMSandro Tonali86
  • LBFederico Dimarco84
  • CBAlessandro Bastoni88
  • CBRiccardo Calafiori82
  • RBGiovanni Di Lorenzo84
  • GKGianluigi Donnarumma86
Bench · 7
  • CBAlessandro Buongiorno82
  • GKGuglielmo Vicario82
  • CAMLorenzo Pellegrini82
  • STGiacomo Raspadori80
  • CMDavide Frattesi80
  • STMoise Kean80
  • CBGianluca Mancini80
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