Why this matchup matters

Two football ideas, one impossible night

Didier Deschamps's France 2026 bring 4-3-3 and vertical counter with athletic midfield. Julian Nagelsmann's Germany 2026 answer with 4-2-3-1 and high press with technical midfield; the matchup is decided by which side can impose that identity without exposing its weakest transition.

FranceDidier Deschamps · 4-3-3 · Vertical Counter · Athletic MidfieldGermanyJulian Nagelsmann · 4-2-3-1 · High Press · Technical Midfield

400 alternate nights

France vs Germany

Model lean: France

Signature score

2–1

average goals 1.661.37

47%
France
20.5%
Draw
32.5%
Germany

Most likely scores

  1. 2–111%
  2. 1–110.8%
  3. 2–08.5%
  4. 1–08%
  5. 1–27.2%
  6. 0–17%

Match profile

xG1.611.42
Shots14.112.5
Poss49%51%
CS26%17.3%
BTTS60.5%
Over 2.558.8%

Goals in 400 matches

  1. FranceG/m
  2. Mbappé2200.55
  3. Dembélé1520.38
  4. Barcola1290.32
  5. Kanté480.12
  1. GermanyG/m
  2. Havertz1760.44
  3. Wirtz1050.26
  4. Sané990.25
  5. Musiala780.20
Home XIFrance2026Didier Deschamps · 4-3-3
89OVR

XI

  • LWOusmane Dembélé88
  • STKylian Mbappé95
  • RWBradley Barcola84
  • CMEduardo Camavinga86
  • CDMAurélien Tchouaméni86
  • CMN'Golo Kanté84
  • LBTheo Hernández86
  • CBWilliam Saliba90
  • CBIbrahima Konaté86
  • RBJules Koundé84
  • GKMike Maignan86
Bench · 7
  • CBDayot Upamecano84
  • RWKingsley Coman84
  • STMarcus Thuram84
  • STRandal Kolo Muani82
  • CMYoussouf Fofana80
  • CMWarren Zaïre-Emery80
  • GKBrice Samba78
Away XIGermany2026Julian Nagelsmann · 4-2-3-1
86OVR

XI

  • STKai Havertz84
  • LWLeroy Sané86
  • CAMJamal Musiala90
  • RWFlorian Wirtz88
  • CDMIlkay Gündoğan82
  • CDMRobert Andrich80
  • LBDavid Raum80
  • CBNico Schlotterbeck84
  • CBAntonio Rüdiger84
  • RBJoshua Kimmich88
  • GKMarc-André ter Stegen84
Bench · 7
  • STNiclas Füllkrug82
  • CBJonathan Tah82
  • RWSerge Gnabry82
  • CMPascal Groß80
  • LWChris Führich78
  • GKOliver Baumann78
  • STDeniz Undav78

Ratings

Attack92
Midfield88
Defence88
Goalkeeping86
Chemistry86
Overall89

Ratings

Attack88
Midfield88
Defence84
Goalkeeping82
Chemistry84
Overall86

Your turn

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XI

  • LWOusmane Dembélé88
  • STKylian Mbappé95
  • RWBradley Barcola84
  • CMEduardo Camavinga86
  • CDMAurélien Tchouaméni86
  • CMN'Golo Kanté84
  • LBTheo Hernández86
  • CBWilliam Saliba90
  • CBIbrahima Konaté86
  • RBJules Koundé84
  • GKMike Maignan86
Bench · 7
  • CBDayot Upamecano84
  • RWKingsley Coman84
  • STMarcus Thuram84
  • STRandal Kolo Muani82
  • CMYoussouf Fofana80
  • CMWarren Zaïre-Emery80
  • GKBrice Samba78
VS

Tap a player for PAC SHO PAS DRI DEF PHY

XI

  • STKai Havertz84
  • LWLeroy Sané86
  • CAMJamal Musiala90
  • RWFlorian Wirtz88
  • CDMIlkay Gündoğan82
  • CDMRobert Andrich80
  • LBDavid Raum80
  • CBNico Schlotterbeck84
  • CBAntonio Rüdiger84
  • RBJoshua Kimmich88
  • GKMarc-André ter Stegen84
Bench · 7
  • STNiclas Füllkrug82
  • CBJonathan Tah82
  • RWSerge Gnabry82
  • CMPascal Groß80
  • LWChris Führich78
  • GKOliver Baumann78
  • STDeniz Undav78
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