Why this matchup matters

Two football ideas, one impossible night

Niko Kovač's Borussia Dortmund 2025/26 bring 4-2-3-1 and gegenpressing with vertical attack. José Mourinho's Chelsea 2004/05 answer with 4-3-3 and low block with set pieces; the matchup is decided by which side can impose that identity without exposing its weakest transition.

Borussia DortmundNiko Kovač · 4-2-3-1 · Gegenpressing · Vertical AttackChelseaJosé Mourinho · 4-3-3 · Low Block · Set Pieces

400 alternate nights

Borussia Dortmund vs Chelsea

Model lean: Chelsea

Signature score

0–1

average goals 1.291.61

31.5%
Borussia Dortmund
22.8%
Draw
45.8%
Chelsea

Most likely scores

  1. 0–111.8%
  2. 1–28.8%
  3. 2–18.8%
  4. 1–18.8%
  5. 0–28.3%
  6. 2–27%

Match profile

xG1.341.61
Shots12.114
Poss48%52%
CS19.5%30.8%
BTTS55%
Over 2.554.5%

Goals in 400 matches

  1. Borussia DortmundG/m
  2. Guirassy1790.45
  3. Adeyemi1090.27
  4. Bynoe-Gittens1010.25
  5. Brandt530.13
  1. ChelseaG/m
  2. Drogba2040.51
  3. Robben1400.35
  4. Duff1270.32
  5. Lampard520.13
Home XIBorussia Dortmund2025/26Niko Kovač · 4-2-3-1
82OVR

XI

  • STSerhou Guirassy86
  • LWKarim Adeyemi82
  • CAMJulian Brandt84
  • RWJamie Bynoe-Gittens80
  • CDMFelix Nmecha80
  • CDMMarcel Sabitzer80
  • LBRamy Bensebaini80
  • CBNico Schlotterbeck84
  • CBWaldemar Anton80
  • RBJulian Ryerson80
  • GKGregor Kobel84
Bench · 7
  • STMaximilian Beier80
  • CMPascal Groß80
  • CDMEmre Can78
  • RBYan Couto78
  • CBNiklas Süle78
  • CAMGiovanni Reyna76
  • GKAlexander Meyer74
Away XIChelsea2004/05José Mourinho · 4-3-3
91OVR

XI

  • LWDamien Duff86
  • STDidier Drogba88
  • RWArjen Robben88
  • CMFrank Lampard90
  • CDMClaude Makélélé90
  • CMTiago82
  • LBWayne Bridge82
  • CBJohn Terry91
  • CBRicardo Carvalho88
  • RBPaulo Ferreira82
  • GKPetr Čech91
Bench · 8
  • RWJoe Cole84
  • STEidur Gudjohnsen84
  • CBWilliam Gallas84
  • RBGeremi80
  • STMateja Kežman80
  • GKCarlo Cudicini80
  • CMAlexei Smertin78
  • CMJiri Jarosik76

Ratings

Attack84
Midfield82
Defence80
Goalkeeping80
Chemistry82
Overall82

Ratings

Attack88
Midfield92
Defence94
Goalkeeping91
Chemistry94
Overall91

Your turn

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XI

  • STSerhou Guirassy86
  • LWKarim Adeyemi82
  • CAMJulian Brandt84
  • RWJamie Bynoe-Gittens80
  • CDMFelix Nmecha80
  • CDMMarcel Sabitzer80
  • LBRamy Bensebaini80
  • CBNico Schlotterbeck84
  • CBWaldemar Anton80
  • RBJulian Ryerson80
  • GKGregor Kobel84
Bench · 7
  • STMaximilian Beier80
  • CMPascal Groß80
  • CDMEmre Can78
  • RBYan Couto78
  • CBNiklas Süle78
  • CAMGiovanni Reyna76
  • GKAlexander Meyer74
VS

Tap a player for PAC SHO PAS DRI DEF PHY

XI

  • LWDamien Duff86
  • STDidier Drogba88
  • RWArjen Robben88
  • CMFrank Lampard90
  • CDMClaude Makélélé90
  • CMTiago82
  • LBWayne Bridge82
  • CBJohn Terry91
  • CBRicardo Carvalho88
  • RBPaulo Ferreira82
  • GKPetr Čech91
Bench · 8
  • RWJoe Cole84
  • STEidur Gudjohnsen84
  • CBWilliam Gallas84
  • RBGeremi80
  • STMateja Kežman80
  • GKCarlo Cudicini80
  • CMAlexei Smertin78
  • CMJiri Jarosik76
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