Why this matchup matters

Two football ideas, one impossible night

Jürgen Klopp's Borussia Dortmund 2012/13 bring 4-2-3-1 and gegenpressing with vertical runs. Roberto Mancini's Italy 2021 answer with 4-3-3 and positional play with high press; the matchup is decided by which side can impose that identity without exposing its weakest transition.

Borussia DortmundJürgen Klopp · 4-2-3-1 · Gegenpressing · Vertical RunsItalyRoberto Mancini · 4-3-3 · Positional Play · High Press

400 alternate nights

Borussia Dortmund vs Italy

Model lean: Italy

Signature score

1–1

average goals 1.481.55

38%
Borussia Dortmund
20.5%
Draw
41.5%
Italy

Most likely scores

  1. 1–110.3%
  2. 1–29.3%
  3. 1–09.3%
  4. 0–17.5%
  5. 1–36.8%
  6. 2–16.5%

Match profile

xG1.551.44
Shots13.512.8
Poss48%52%
CS22%22.3%
BTTS59.8%
Over 2.558.8%

Goals in 400 matches

  1. Borussia DortmundG/m
  2. Lewandowski2120.53
  3. Reus1170.29
  4. Błaszczykowski860.21
  5. Götze850.21
  1. ItalyG/m
  2. Immobile2120.53
  3. Chiesa1180.29
  4. Insigne1130.28
  5. Jorginho430.11
Home XIBorussia Dortmund2012/13Jürgen Klopp · 4-2-3-1
88OVR

XI

  • STRobert Lewandowski90
  • LWMarco Reus90
  • CAMMario Götze88
  • RWJakub Błaszczykowski84
  • CDMSven Bender82
  • CDMİlkay Gündoğan86
  • LBMarcel Schmelzer82
  • CBMats Hummels88
  • CBNeven Subotić84
  • RBŁukasz Piszczek84
  • GKRoman Weidenfeller82
Bench · 7
  • CMNuri Şahin82
  • CDMSebastian Kehl80
  • LWKevin Großkreutz78
  • STJulian Schieber76
  • CBFelipe Santana76
  • GKMitchell Langerak74
  • CMMoritz Leitner74
Away XIItaly2021Roberto Mancini · 4-3-3
89OVR

XI

  • LWLorenzo Insigne86
  • STCiro Immobile84
  • RWFederico Chiesa86
  • CMMarco Verratti88
  • CMJorginho86
  • CMNicolò Barella86
  • LBEmerson80
  • CBGiorgio Chiellini86
  • CBLeonardo Bonucci86
  • RBGiovanni Di Lorenzo82
  • GKGianluigi Donnarumma88
Bench · 7
  • RWDomenico Berardi82
  • CMManuel Locatelli82
  • LBLeonardo Spinazzola82
  • STAndrea Belotti80
  • RBAlessandro Florenzi78
  • CBRafael Tolói78
  • GKSalvatore Sirigu78

Ratings

Attack90
Midfield88
Defence86
Goalkeeping82
Chemistry95
Overall88

Ratings

Attack86
Midfield90
Defence88
Goalkeeping88
Chemistry94
Overall89

Your turn

Simulate this matchup

The teams are already selected. Run the match yourself for a fresh seeded result, or test the matchup 100 times.

XI

  • STRobert Lewandowski90
  • LWMarco Reus90
  • CAMMario Götze88
  • RWJakub Błaszczykowski84
  • CDMSven Bender82
  • CDMİlkay Gündoğan86
  • LBMarcel Schmelzer82
  • CBMats Hummels88
  • CBNeven Subotić84
  • RBŁukasz Piszczek84
  • GKRoman Weidenfeller82
Bench · 7
  • CMNuri Şahin82
  • CDMSebastian Kehl80
  • LWKevin Großkreutz78
  • STJulian Schieber76
  • CBFelipe Santana76
  • GKMitchell Langerak74
  • CMMoritz Leitner74
VS

Tap a player for PAC SHO PAS DRI DEF PHY

XI

  • LWLorenzo Insigne86
  • STCiro Immobile84
  • RWFederico Chiesa86
  • CMMarco Verratti88
  • CMJorginho86
  • CMNicolò Barella86
  • LBEmerson80
  • CBGiorgio Chiellini86
  • CBLeonardo Bonucci86
  • RBGiovanni Di Lorenzo82
  • GKGianluigi Donnarumma88
Bench · 7
  • RWDomenico Berardi82
  • CMManuel Locatelli82
  • LBLeonardo Spinazzola82
  • STAndrea Belotti80
  • RBAlessandro Florenzi78
  • CBRafael Tolói78
  • GKSalvatore Sirigu78
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