Why this matchup matters

Two football ideas, one impossible night

Diego Simeone's Atlético Madrid 2025/26 bring 4-4-2 and low block with two strikers. Xabi Alonso's Real Madrid 2025/26 answer with 4-3-3 and star forwards with counter attack; the matchup is decided by which side can impose that identity without exposing its weakest transition.

Atlético MadridDiego Simeone · 4-4-2 · Low Block · Two StrikersReal MadridXabi Alonso · 4-3-3 · Star Forwards · Counter Attack

400 alternate nights

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid

Model lean: Real Madrid

Signature score

1–1

average goals 1.471.57

36.3%
Atlético Madrid
25%
Draw
38.8%
Real Madrid

Most likely scores

  1. 1–111.8%
  2. 2–19.8%
  3. 1–28.5%
  4. 0–16.8%
  5. 0–26.3%
  6. 1–06%

Match profile

xG1.471.56
Shots1313.6
Poss46%54%
CS20.5%22.8%
BTTS62.3%
Over 2.559.3%

Goals in 400 matches

  1. Atlético MadridG/m
  2. Álvarez1930.48
  3. Sørloth1330.33
  4. Simeone660.17
  5. Lino620.15
  1. Real MadridG/m
  2. Mbappé2080.52
  3. Rodrygo1240.31
  4. Júnior1220.30
  5. Bellingham500.13
Home XIAtlético Madrid2025/26Diego Simeone · 4-4-2
86OVR

XI

  • STJulián Álvarez88
  • STAlexander Sørloth84
  • LMSamuel Lino80
  • CMPablo Barrios80
  • CMKoke80
  • RMGiuliano Simeone80
  • LBJavi Galán76
  • CBJosé María Giménez84
  • CBRobin Le Normand82
  • RBNahuel Molina80
  • GKJan Oblak86
Bench · 7
  • CAMAntoine Griezmann84
  • RMMarcos Llorente82
  • CMConor Gallagher80
  • STAngel Correa78
  • RBCésar Azpilicueta76
  • LWRodrigo Riquelme76
  • GKJuan Musso76
Away XIReal Madrid2025/26Xabi Alonso · 4-3-3
90OVR

XI

  • LWVinícius Júnior93
  • STKylian Mbappé95
  • RWRodrygo88
  • CMJude Bellingham92
  • CDMAurélien Tchouaméni86
  • CMFederico Valverde88
  • LBFerland Mendy80
  • CBAntonio Rüdiger84
  • CBÉder Militão86
  • RBTrent Alexander-Arnold86
  • GKThibaut Courtois88
Bench · 7
  • CMEduardo Camavinga86
  • CAMArda Güler82
  • STEndrick80
  • CAMBrahim Díaz80
  • CBDean Huijsen80
  • GKAndriy Lunin80
  • LBFran García78

Ratings

Attack86
Midfield84
Defence86
Goalkeeping86
Chemistry88
Overall86

Ratings

Attack94
Midfield90
Defence86
Goalkeeping88
Chemistry86
Overall90

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XI

  • STJulián Álvarez88
  • STAlexander Sørloth84
  • LMSamuel Lino80
  • CMPablo Barrios80
  • CMKoke80
  • RMGiuliano Simeone80
  • LBJavi Galán76
  • CBJosé María Giménez84
  • CBRobin Le Normand82
  • RBNahuel Molina80
  • GKJan Oblak86
Bench · 7
  • CAMAntoine Griezmann84
  • RMMarcos Llorente82
  • CMConor Gallagher80
  • STAngel Correa78
  • RBCésar Azpilicueta76
  • LWRodrigo Riquelme76
  • GKJuan Musso76
VS

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XI

  • LWVinícius Júnior93
  • STKylian Mbappé95
  • RWRodrygo88
  • CMJude Bellingham92
  • CDMAurélien Tchouaméni86
  • CMFederico Valverde88
  • LBFerland Mendy80
  • CBAntonio Rüdiger84
  • CBÉder Militão86
  • RBTrent Alexander-Arnold86
  • GKThibaut Courtois88
Bench · 7
  • CMEduardo Camavinga86
  • CAMArda Güler82
  • STEndrick80
  • CAMBrahim Díaz80
  • CBDean Huijsen80
  • GKAndriy Lunin80
  • LBFran García78
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