Why this matchup matters

Two football ideas, one impossible night

Massimiliano Allegri's AC Milan 2025/26 bring 4-2-3-1 and counter attack with wide forwards. Diego Simeone's Atlético Madrid 2020/21 answer with 4-4-2 and low block with counter attack; the matchup is decided by which side can impose that identity without exposing its weakest transition.

AC MilanMassimiliano Allegri · 4-2-3-1 · Counter Attack · Wide ForwardsAtlético MadridDiego Simeone · 4-4-2 · Low Block · Counter Attack

400 alternate nights

AC Milan vs Atlético Madrid

Model lean: Atlético Madrid

Signature score

1–1

average goals 1.431.58

33.8%
AC Milan
27.8%
Draw
38.5%
Atlético Madrid

Most likely scores

  1. 1–116.5%
  2. 1–29%
  3. 2–18.3%
  4. 1–06.8%
  5. 0–26.3%
  6. 0–16%

Match profile

xG1.381.55
Shots12.613.8
Poss51%49%
CS16.8%20.5%
BTTS66.8%
Over 2.557%

Goals in 400 matches

  1. AC MilanG/m
  2. Giménez2100.53
  3. Leão1160.29
  4. Chukwueze910.23
  5. Pulisic750.19
  1. Atlético MadridG/m
  2. Suárez2090.52
  3. Félix1560.39
  4. Llorente690.17
  5. Carrasco680.17
Home XIAC Milan2025/26Massimiliano Allegri · 4-2-3-1
83OVR

XI

  • STSantiago Giménez82
  • LWRafael Leão88
  • CAMChristian Pulisic84
  • RWSamuel Chukwueze80
  • CDMYoussouf Fofana80
  • CDMTijjani Reijnders84
  • LBTheo Hernández86
  • CBStrahinja Pavlović80
  • CBMalick Thiaw80
  • RBKyle Walker80
  • GKMike Maignan86
Bench · 7
  • CAMJoão Félix82
  • CBFikayo Tomori80
  • STTammy Abraham78
  • CMRuben Loftus-Cheek78
  • CMYunus Musah76
  • RBDavide Calabria76
  • GKMarco Sportiello74
Away XIAtlético Madrid2020/21Diego Simeone · 4-4-2
89OVR

XI

  • STLuis Suárez86
  • STJoão Félix84
  • LMYannick Carrasco84
  • CMKoke84
  • CMHéctor Herrera80
  • RMMarcos Llorente84
  • LBRenan Lodi80
  • CBJosé María Giménez84
  • CBStefan Savić84
  • RBKieran Trippier82
  • GKJan Oblak92
Bench · 7
  • STÁngel Correa82
  • LMThomas Lemar80
  • CMSaúl Ñíguez80
  • CMGeoffrey Kondogbia78
  • CBMario Hermoso78
  • RBŠime Vrsaljko76
  • GKIvo Grbić72

Ratings

Attack84
Midfield82
Defence82
Goalkeeping86
Chemistry80
Overall83

Ratings

Attack88
Midfield86
Defence90
Goalkeeping92
Chemistry92
Overall89

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XI

  • STSantiago Giménez82
  • LWRafael Leão88
  • CAMChristian Pulisic84
  • RWSamuel Chukwueze80
  • CDMYoussouf Fofana80
  • CDMTijjani Reijnders84
  • LBTheo Hernández86
  • CBStrahinja Pavlović80
  • CBMalick Thiaw80
  • RBKyle Walker80
  • GKMike Maignan86
Bench · 7
  • CAMJoão Félix82
  • CBFikayo Tomori80
  • STTammy Abraham78
  • CMRuben Loftus-Cheek78
  • CMYunus Musah76
  • RBDavide Calabria76
  • GKMarco Sportiello74
VS

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XI

  • STLuis Suárez86
  • STJoão Félix84
  • LMYannick Carrasco84
  • CMKoke84
  • CMHéctor Herrera80
  • RMMarcos Llorente84
  • LBRenan Lodi80
  • CBJosé María Giménez84
  • CBStefan Savić84
  • RBKieran Trippier82
  • GKJan Oblak92
Bench · 7
  • STÁngel Correa82
  • LMThomas Lemar80
  • CMSaúl Ñíguez80
  • CMGeoffrey Kondogbia78
  • CBMario Hermoso78
  • RBŠime Vrsaljko76
  • GKIvo Grbić72
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