Why this matchup matters

Two football ideas, one impossible night

Carlo Ancelotti's AC Milan 2006/07 bring 4-3-2-1 and christmas tree with pirlo tempo. Xabi Alonso's Real Madrid 2025/26 answer with 4-3-3 and star forwards with counter attack; the matchup is decided by which side can impose that identity without exposing its weakest transition.

AC MilanCarlo Ancelotti · 4-3-2-1 · Christmas Tree · Pirlo TempoReal MadridXabi Alonso · 4-3-3 · Star Forwards · Counter Attack

400 alternate nights

AC Milan vs Real Madrid

Model lean: AC Milan

Signature score

1–1

average goals 1.491.37

39.8%
AC Milan
24.5%
Draw
35.8%
Real Madrid

Most likely scores

  1. 1–112.5%
  2. 1–09.5%
  3. 1–29.5%
  4. 0–17.8%
  5. 2–17.5%
  6. 0–06.3%

Match profile

xG1.531.40
Shots13.412.6
Poss52%48%
CS26.3%22.8%
BTTS57.3%
Over 2.553%

Goals in 400 matches

  1. AC MilanG/m
  2. Inzaghi2380.59
  3. Kaká840.21
  4. Seedorf800.20
  5. Gattuso480.12
  1. Real MadridG/m
  2. Mbappé1790.45
  3. Júnior1030.26
  4. Rodrygo930.23
  5. Bellingham550.14
Home XIAC Milan2006/07Carlo Ancelotti · 4-3-2-1
92OVR

XI

  • STFilippo Inzaghi86
  • CAMKaká94
  • CAMClarence Seedorf88
  • CMGennaro Gattuso87
  • CMAndrea Pirlo93
  • CMMassimo Ambrosini84
  • LBMarek Jankulovski81
  • CBPaolo Maldini90
  • CBAlessandro Nesta92
  • RBMassimo Oddo80
  • GKDida86
Bench · 9
  • RBCafu84
  • STAlberto Gilardino84
  • CBKakha Kaladze82
  • STRonaldo80
  • CAMYoann Gourcuff80
  • LBSerginho78
  • CBDaniele Bonera78
  • CMCristian Brocchi76
  • GKŽeljko Kalac74
Away XIReal Madrid2025/26Xabi Alonso · 4-3-3
90OVR

XI

  • LWVinícius Júnior93
  • STKylian Mbappé95
  • RWRodrygo88
  • CMJude Bellingham92
  • CDMAurélien Tchouaméni86
  • CMFederico Valverde88
  • LBFerland Mendy80
  • CBAntonio Rüdiger84
  • CBÉder Militão86
  • RBTrent Alexander-Arnold86
  • GKThibaut Courtois88
Bench · 7
  • CMEduardo Camavinga86
  • CAMArda Güler82
  • STEndrick80
  • CAMBrahim Díaz80
  • CBDean Huijsen80
  • GKAndriy Lunin80
  • LBFran García78

Ratings

Attack90
Midfield95
Defence94
Goalkeeping86
Chemistry94
Overall92

Ratings

Attack94
Midfield90
Defence86
Goalkeeping88
Chemistry86
Overall90

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XI

  • STFilippo Inzaghi86
  • CAMKaká94
  • CAMClarence Seedorf88
  • CMGennaro Gattuso87
  • CMAndrea Pirlo93
  • CMMassimo Ambrosini84
  • LBMarek Jankulovski81
  • CBPaolo Maldini90
  • CBAlessandro Nesta92
  • RBMassimo Oddo80
  • GKDida86
Bench · 9
  • RBCafu84
  • STAlberto Gilardino84
  • CBKakha Kaladze82
  • STRonaldo80
  • CAMYoann Gourcuff80
  • LBSerginho78
  • CBDaniele Bonera78
  • CMCristian Brocchi76
  • GKŽeljko Kalac74
VS

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XI

  • LWVinícius Júnior93
  • STKylian Mbappé95
  • RWRodrygo88
  • CMJude Bellingham92
  • CDMAurélien Tchouaméni86
  • CMFederico Valverde88
  • LBFerland Mendy80
  • CBAntonio Rüdiger84
  • CBÉder Militão86
  • RBTrent Alexander-Arnold86
  • GKThibaut Courtois88
Bench · 7
  • CMEduardo Camavinga86
  • CAMArda Güler82
  • STEndrick80
  • CAMBrahim Díaz80
  • CBDean Huijsen80
  • GKAndriy Lunin80
  • LBFran García78
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